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Brazil · Serie C

26 Jul 2026 23:30 UTC

AMAZONAS FC vs PAYSANDU

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Amazonas FC won Last goal: Amazonas FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Cardoso — Paysandu
  2. ⚽ Nicolás Schiappacasse — Amazonas FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicolás Schiappacasse (penalty) — Amazonas FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Amazonas FC
90-minute result: Amazonas FC
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 85 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 260 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 328 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
189 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
91 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
292 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
319 predictions

Match overview