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Brazil · Serie C

26 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

CAXIAS vs BOTAFOGO PB

Final 1:2

Botafogo PB won Last goal: Botafogo PB

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Breno Santos — Caxias

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ianson (own goal) — Botafogo PB
  2. ⚽ Rodolfo — Botafogo PB

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Botafogo PB
90-minute result: Botafogo PB
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
40%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 27% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 260 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 330 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
191 predictions
Total 1.5 45% (Weak)
141 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
239 predictions
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
321 predictions

Match overview