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Guatemala · Liga Nacional · Apertura

26 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO MALACATECO vs COBAN IMPERIAL

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Deportivo Malacateco

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kenneth Valdez — Coban Imperial

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Roberto — Deportivo Malacateco

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Deportivo Malacateco
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 96 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 280 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 332 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 101 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
242 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
179 predictions
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
98 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
196 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
272 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
300 predictions

Match overview