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Guatemala · Liga Nacional · Clausura Final Stage

24 May 2026 02:00 UTC

CLUB XELAJU vs CSD MUNICIPAL

Final 1:2

CSD Municipal won Last goal: CSD Municipal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Manuel Romero — Club Xelaju
  2. ⚽ Manuel Romero (own goal) — CSD Municipal

2nd half

  1. ⚽ José Morales — CSD Municipal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Club Xelaju
90-minute result: CSD Municipal
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 61% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 95 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 282 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
202 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
206 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
257 predictions

Match overview