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Guatemala · Liga Nacional · Clausura Final Stage

17 May 2026 00:00 UTC

CSD MUNICIPAL vs CLUB XELAJU

Final 4:1

CSD Municipal won Last goal: CSD Municipal

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Raúl Calderón — Club Xelaju
  2. ⚽ Jefry Bantes — CSD Municipal

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Jorge Aparicio (straight red) — Club Xelaju
  2. ⚽ Cristian Hernandez — CSD Municipal
  3. ⚽ Alejandro Cabeza — CSD Municipal
  4. ⚽ Pedro Altán — CSD Municipal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
CSD Municipal
90-minute result: CSD Municipal
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 61% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 94 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 281 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 95 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
201 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
129 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
205 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
256 predictions

Match overview