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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona B

26 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

TUCUMAN CENTRAL vs SARMIENTO DE LA BANDA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Sarmiento de La Banda

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valentin Montenegro — Tucuman Central

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Nahuel Duarte (straight red) — Tucuman Central
  2. ⚽ Alfredo Israel Roldan — Sarmiento de La Banda

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Sarmiento de La Banda
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
27%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 178 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,142 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1344 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 52 past matches

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 27% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
844 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
503 predictions
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
732 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
342 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1218 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1303 predictions

Match overview