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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona B

26 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

SARMIENTO DE RESISTENCIA vs SOL DE AMERICA FORMOSA

Final 2:1

Sarmiento de Resistencia won Last goal: Sol de America Formosa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Maximiliano Ibanez (penalty) — Sarmiento de Resistencia
  2. ⚽ Cristian Almirón — Sarmiento de Resistencia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Facundo Pardo — Sol de America Formosa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Sol de America Formosa
90-minute result: Sarmiento de Resistencia
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,142 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1344 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 67 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
844 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
841 predictions
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
732 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
1002 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1218 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1303 predictions

Match overview