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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona D

26 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

SOL DE MAYO vs VILLA MITRE

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: Villa Mitre

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Marcos Escobar — Villa Mitre
  2. ⚽ Santiago Jara — Sol de Mayo
  3. ⚽ Victor Ayala — Villa Mitre

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Pereira — Sol de Mayo
  2. ⚽ Editson Cordoba — Sol de Mayo
  3. 🟥 — (straight red) — Sol de Mayo
  4. ⚽ Santiago Gomez — Villa Mitre

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Villa Mitre
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 49 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,142 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1344 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
844 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
841 predictions
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
732 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
1002 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1218 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1303 predictions

Match overview