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Poland · I Liga

26 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

SKIERNIEWICE vs STAL MIELEC

Final 1:2

Stal Mielec won Last goal: Skierniewice

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kamil Odolak — Stal Mielec

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kamil Odolak — Stal Mielec
  2. ⚽ Oleksandr Gavrylenko — Skierniewice

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Skierniewice
90-minute result: Stal Mielec
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 310 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 382 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
263 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
160 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
292 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
211 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
300 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
352 predictions

Match overview