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Poland · I Liga

25 Jul 2026 13:30 UTC

STAL RZESZOW vs CHROBRY GLOGOW

Final 1:5

Chrobry Glogow won Last goal: Chrobry Glogow

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Yehor Sharabura — Chrobry Glogow

2nd half

  1. Yehor Sharabura — Chrobry Glogow
  2. Kelechukwu Ebenezer — Chrobry Glogow
  3. Jonathan (penalty) — Stal Rzeszow
  4. 🟥 Jonathan (straight red) — Stal Rzeszow
  5. Sebastian Strozik — Chrobry Glogow
  6. Kamil Grzelak — Chrobry Glogow

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 307 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 379 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
260 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
158 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
289 predictions
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
80 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
350 predictions

Match overview