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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Clausura

26 Jul 2026 22:30 UTC

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA vs BOCA JUNIORS

Final 3:0

Deportivo Riestra won Last goal: Deportivo Riestra

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Braian Sánchez — Deportivo Riestra
  2. ⚽ Antony Alonso — Deportivo Riestra
  3. ⚽ Alexander Díaz — Deportivo Riestra

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Deportivo Riestra
90-minute result: Deportivo Riestra
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 160 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 492 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 580 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
392 predictions
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
236 predictions
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
340 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
167 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 4.5 11% (Weak)
27 predictions

Match overview