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Ecuador · Serie A

26 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

DELFIN vs LEONES DEL NORTE

Final 0:1

Leones del Norte won Last goal: Leones del Norte

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Darío Pazmiño — Leones del Norte

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Delfin
90-minute result: Leones del Norte
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 109 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 351 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 406 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 69 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
274 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
231 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
272 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
348 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
387 predictions

Match overview