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Ecuador · Serie A

26 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

AUCAS vs CSD MACARA

Final 1:4

CSD Macara won Last goal: CSD Macara

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Santiago Morales — Aucas
  2. ⚽ Agustin Campana — CSD Macara

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Franco Posse (penalty) — CSD Macara
  2. ⚽ Agustin Campana — CSD Macara
  3. ⚽ Franco Posse — CSD Macara

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
CSD Macara
90-minute result: CSD Macara
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 351 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 406 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 102 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
274 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
231 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
272 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
348 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
387 predictions

Match overview