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Colombia · Categoria Primera B · Primera B Clausura

26 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

PATRIOTAS vs INTERNACIONAL FC DE PALMIRA

Final 3:1

Patriotas won Last goal: Patriotas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jhon Mosquera — Internacional FC de Palmira

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Alvarez — Patriotas
  2. ⚽ Johan Campaña — Patriotas
  3. 🟥 — (straight red) — Internacional FC de Palmira
  4. ⚽ Kevin Alvarez (penalty) — Patriotas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Patriotas
90-minute result: Patriotas
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 48% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 359 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 99 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 46% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
223 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
253 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
322 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
341 predictions

Match overview