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Colombia · Categoria Primera B · Primera B Clausura

26 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

ORSOMARSO vs BARRANQUILLA FC

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Orsomarso won Last goal: Orsomarso

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bayron Caicedo — Orsomarso

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Orsomarso
90-minute result: Orsomarso
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 120 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 359 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 76 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 55% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
223 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
166 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
253 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
322 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
341 predictions

Match overview