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Colombia · Categoria Primera B · Primera B Clausura

26 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

REAL CARTAGENA vs REAL SANTANDER

Final 5:1

Real Cartagena won Last goal: Real Cartagena

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Álvaro Meléndez — Real Cartagena
  2. ⚽ Cristian Graciano — Real Cartagena
  3. ⚽ Juan Gallego — Real Cartagena
  4. ⚽ Michell Diaz — Real Santander

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Gallego — Real Cartagena
  2. ⚽ Mauro Manotas — Real Cartagena

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Real Cartagena
90-minute result: Real Cartagena
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 120 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 357 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
244 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
223 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
166 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
251 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
320 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
339 predictions

Match overview