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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona C

25 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

COSTA BRAVA vs DEPORTIVO RINCON

Final 0:1

Deportivo Rincon won Last goal: Deportivo Rincon

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Jorge Rossi — Deportivo Rincon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 368 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,131 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1333 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
837 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
835 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
608 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
993 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1207 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1292 predictions

Match overview