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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana

25 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

CASD CAMIONEROS vs SAN MARTIN BURZACO

Final 2:0

CASD Camioneros won Last goal: CASD Camioneros

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matias De Jesus — CASD Camioneros

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Brizuela — CASD Camioneros

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CASD Camioneros
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 488 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,131 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1334 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
496 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
498 predictions
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
726 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
994 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1208 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1293 predictions

Match overview