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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · Federal A Zona A

25 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

DEFENSORES DE BELGRANO DE VILLA RAMALLO vs GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA DE CHIVILCOY

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Nicolas Pavone (straight red) — Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Enzo Luna (penalty) — Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
  2. ⚽ Fausto Fiol — Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy
  3. ⚽ Valentin Fernandez — Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy
  4. ⚽ Mateo Ramos — Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Chivilcoy
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 176 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,131 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1333 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
837 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
498 predictions
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
725 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
340 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1207 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1292 predictions

Match overview