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Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana

25 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO MERLO vs VILLA SAN CARLOS

Awaits result

Last goal: Deportivo Merlo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Sandoval — Deportivo Merlo

Model prediction

Good
40%
1X2
Draw
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Risky
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Good
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Strong
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
11%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 488 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,131 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1334 completed matches.

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 107 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 30% (Weak)
496 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
836 predictions
Total 1.5 38% (Weak)
608 predictions
Total 2.5 66% (Strong)
994 predictions
Total 3.5 85% (Strong)
1208 predictions
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
1293 predictions

Match preview