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Ireland · Premier Division

25 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

SLIGO ROVERS vs DROGHEDA UNITED

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Drogheda United

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Thomas Oluwa — Drogheda United
  2. ⚽ Cian Kavanagh — Sligo Rovers
  3. ⚽ Cian Kavanagh — Sligo Rovers

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Archie Meekison (straight red) — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Shane Farrell — Drogheda United

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Sligo Rovers
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 31% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 209 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 257 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 95 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
185 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
181 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
108 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
233 predictions

Match overview