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Ireland · Premier Division

11 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

GALWAY UNITED FC vs SLIGO ROVERS

Final 3:2

Galway United FC won Last goal: Galway United FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Frantz Pierrot — Galway United FC

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Seb Quirk (2nd yellow) — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Matty Wolfe — Galway United FC
  3. ⚽ Cian Kavanagh — Sligo Rovers
  4. ⚽ Cian Kavanagh — Sligo Rovers
  5. ⚽ Matty Wolfe — Galway United FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Galway United FC
90-minute result: Galway United FC
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 55% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 207 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 255 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 93 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
183 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
116 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
179 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
148 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
197 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
231 predictions

Match overview