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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

25 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

SALPA vs PK KESKI-UUSIMAA

Final 0:1

PK Keski-Uusimaa won Last goal: PK Keski-Uusimaa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jaako Sivunen — PK Keski-Uusimaa
  2. 🟥 Jesse Norss (straight red) — PK Keski-Uusimaa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: PK Keski-Uusimaa
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 206 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 250 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
76 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
207 predictions

Match overview