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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

20 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

KPV vs ROPS

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: RoPS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pietro Kytoelaakso — KPV

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Simo Roiha — RoPS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 18% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 202 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 246 completed matches.

1X2 18% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 78 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)
56 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
196 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
171 predictions
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
204 predictions

Match overview