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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

24 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

FC JAZZ vs TPV

Final 4:0

FC Jazz won Last goal: FC Jazz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Juliusz Pazio (straight red) — TPV
  2. ⚽ Joonas Lakkamaeki — FC Jazz

2nd half

  1. ⚽ — (own goal) — FC Jazz
  2. ⚽ Juuso Marttila — FC Jazz
  3. ⚽ Juuso Marttila — FC Jazz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
TPV
90-minute result: FC Jazz
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
3:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
190 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
138 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
198 predictions
Total 2.5 70% (Strong)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
75 predictions
Total 4.5 24% (Weak)
42 predictions

Match overview