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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Bayern

25 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

UNTERHACHING vs GREUTHER FUERTH II

Final 1:0

Unterhaching won Last goal: Unterhaching

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jeroen Krupa — Unterhaching

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Greuther Fuerth II
90-minute result: Unterhaching
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 65 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,508 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1809 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1361 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
1130 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1504 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
1087 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
667 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
339 predictions

Match overview