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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Northeast

25 Jul 2026 12:30 UTC

ERZGEBIRGE AUE vs VSG ALTGLIENICKE

Final 3:3

Draw Last goal: VSG Altglienicke

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Linus Queisser — Erzgebirge Aue
  2. ⚽ Mohamed Sylla — VSG Altglienicke
  3. ⚽ John Anthony Brooks — VSG Altglienicke
  4. ⚽ Tim Maciejewski — Erzgebirge Aue

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Marcel Bär — Erzgebirge Aue
  2. ⚽ Jonas Nietfeld — VSG Altglienicke

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 445 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,508 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1809 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
448 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
679 predictions
Total 1.5 19% (Weak)
305 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
722 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
1142 predictions
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
1470 predictions

Match overview