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Germany · Regionalliga · Regionalliga Bayern

24 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

SPVGG BAYREUTH vs AUGSBURG II

Final 3:0

SpVgg Bayreuth won Last goal: SpVgg Bayreuth

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kelvin Onuigwe — SpVgg Bayreuth

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Niklas Doll — SpVgg Bayreuth
  2. ⚽ Erijon Shaqiri — SpVgg Bayreuth

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
SpVgg Bayreuth
90-minute result: SpVgg Bayreuth
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 244 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,499 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1800 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
1353 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
1124 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
1496 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
1079 predictions
Total 3.5 45% (Weak)
662 predictions
Total 4.5 26% (Weak)
336 predictions

Match overview