← Back to matches

Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

25 Jul 2026 21:00 UTC

DEFENSOR SPORTING vs LIVERPOOL FC

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Defensor Sporting

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rubén Bentancourt — Liverpool FC
  2. ⚽ Nicolás Garayalde — Liverpool FC
  3. ⚽ Guillermo de los Santos — Defensor Sporting

Model prediction

Weak
39%
1X2
Liverpool FC
Weak
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Good
14%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 368 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
251 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
213 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
225 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
241 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
328 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
357 predictions

Match preview