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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

25 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

CENTRAL ESPANOL vs CERRO LARGO

Final 0:1

Cerro Largo won Last goal: Cerro Largo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Diego Daguerre — Cerro Largo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Central Espanol
90-minute result: Cerro Largo
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 368 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 60 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
251 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
213 predictions
Total 1.5 37% (Weak)
143 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
241 predictions
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
328 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
357 predictions

Match overview