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Uruguay · Segunda Division

25 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

COLON vs PAYSANDU

Final 2:3

Paysandu won Last goal: Colon

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Thomas Lerman — Colon
  2. ⚽ Luis López — Paysandu

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leonardo Gomez — Paysandu
  2. ⚽ Vicente Pesce — Paysandu
  3. ⚽ Ramiro Quintana — Colon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paysandu
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 34% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 86 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
89 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
178 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
274 predictions

Match overview