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Switzerland · Challenge League

24 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

FC WINTERTHUR vs YVERDON SPORT FC

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: FC Winterthur

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yannis Odin — FC Winterthur
  2. ⚽ Mahamadou Kanoute — Yverdon Sport FC
  3. ⚽ Helios Sessolo — Yverdon Sport FC
  4. ⚽ Emilio Kehrer — FC Winterthur

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
FC Winterthur
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 38 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 34 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
148 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
121 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
103 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview