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Switzerland · Challenge League

24 Jul 2026 17:30 UTC

FC RAPPERSWIL-JONA vs FC WIL 1900

Final 4:5

FC Wil 1900 won Last goal: FC Rapperswil-Jona

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Axel Bakayoko — FC Rapperswil-Jona
  2. ⚽ Noah Rupp — FC Wil 1900
  3. ⚽ Yannick Schmid (own goal) — FC Rapperswil-Jona
  4. ⚽ Benjamin Keita — FC Wil 1900
  5. ⚽ David Jacovic — FC Wil 1900

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Agon Rexhaj — FC Wil 1900
  2. 🟥 Yannick Schmid (straight red) — FC Wil 1900
  3. ⚽ Tim Staubli — FC Wil 1900
  4. ⚽ Ruben Pousa — FC Rapperswil-Jona
  5. ⚽ Alexis Charveys — FC Rapperswil-Jona

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FC Wil 1900
90-minute result: FC Wil 1900
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 178 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
148 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
106 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
150 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview