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Finland · Kakkonen · Ykkonen

18 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

TPV vs KUPS AKATEMIA

Final 3:1

TPV won Last goal: TPV

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pietu Hautakangas — KuPS Akatemia
  2. ⚽ Roope Kostiainen — TPV

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Berkin Oezcelik — TPV
  2. ⚽ Toni Toijala — TPV

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: TPV
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 17% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 54 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 197 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 241 completed matches.

1X2 17% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 17% (Weak)
54 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
192 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
112 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
199 predictions

Match overview