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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

20 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

NACIONAL POTOSI vs CDT REAL ORURO

Final 1:4

CDT Real Oruro won Last goal: CDT Real Oruro

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Castellon — CDT Real Oruro
  2. ⚽ Adan Bravo — CDT Real Oruro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Damian Villalba — Nacional Potosi
  2. 🟥 Luis Demiquel (2nd yellow) — Nacional Potosi
  3. ⚽ Iván Huayhuata (penalty) — CDT Real Oruro
  4. ⚽ Nelson Amarilla (own goal) — CDT Real Oruro

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: CDT Real Oruro
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
57%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
14%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 235 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 182 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 66% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
139 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
149 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 32% (Weak)
31 predictions

Match overview