← Back to matches

USA · USL Championship

18 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

SPORTING JAX vs BROOKLYN

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Brooklyn

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Emil Jaeaeskelaeinen — Sporting JAX
  2. ⚽ Ahmad Al-Qaq — Sporting JAX

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Obregón — Brooklyn
  2. ⚽ Tommy McNamara (penalty) — Brooklyn

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Brooklyn
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 90 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 405 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 489 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
341 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
270 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
356 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
222 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
373 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
440 predictions

Match overview