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China · Super League

18 Jul 2026 12:00 UTC

WUHAN THREE TOWNS vs SHENZHEN PENG CITY

Final 2:0

Wuhan Three Towns won Last goal: Wuhan Three Towns

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Gabriel Xavier (straight red) — Shenzhen Peng City
  2. ⚽ Jizheng Xiong — Wuhan Three Towns
  3. ⚽ Wang Jinxian — Wuhan Three Towns

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Shenzhen Peng City
90-minute result: Wuhan Three Towns
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 346 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
262 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
143 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
171 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
248 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
294 predictions

Match overview