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China · Super League

17 Jul 2026 11:35 UTC

HENAN FC vs QINGDAO HAINIU

Final 5:1

Henan FC won Last goal: Henan FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Iago Maidana — Henan FC
  2. ⚽ Bruno Nazário — Henan FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gustavo — Henan FC
  2. ⚽ Bruno Nazário (penalty) — Henan FC
  3. ⚽ Malcom Edjouma — Qingdao Hainiu
  4. ⚽ Gustavo — Henan FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Qingdao Hainiu
90-minute result: Henan FC
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
260 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
200 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
174 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
245 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
291 predictions

Match overview