← Back to matches

China · Super League

17 Jul 2026 11:35 UTC

BEIJING GUOAN vs LIAONING TIEREN

Final 1:1 Almanac Moment

Draw Last goal: Liaoning Tieren

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Sai Erjini'ao — Beijing Guoan

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Takahiro Kunimoto — Liaoning Tieren

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
55%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 82 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
260 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
200 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
275 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
174 predictions
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
97 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
291 predictions

Match overview