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Argentina · Cup

18 Jul 2026 00:45 UTC

RIVER PLATE vs ALDOSIVI

Final 1:3

Aldosivi won Last goal: River Plate

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tomás Fernández — Aldosivi
  2. ⚽ Nicolás Cordero — Aldosivi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tomás Fernández — Aldosivi
  2. ⚽ Rafael Borré — River Plate

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
River Plate
90-minute result: Aldosivi
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 70 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 56 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 7 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 14% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
41 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
36 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
29 predictions
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
55 predictions

Match overview