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Argentina · Cup

16 Jul 2026 21:45 UTC

RACING CLUB vs DEFENSA Y JUSTICIA

Final 4:1

Racing Club won Last goal: Racing Club

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Matko Miljevic — Racing Club
  2. ⚽ Marcos Rojo (penalty) — Racing Club

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leandro Fernández — Defensa y Justicia
  2. ⚽ Santiago Sosa — Racing Club
  3. ⚽ Adrián Martínez — Racing Club

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Defensa y Justicia
90-minute result: Racing Club
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
17%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 13% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 67 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 78 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 83% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
59 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
54 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
40 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
61 predictions
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
73 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
77 predictions

Match overview