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Iran · Azadegan League

17 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

NASSAJI MAZANDARAN FC vs ARIO ISLAMSHAHR

Final 1:2

Ario Islamshahr won Last goal: Nassaji Mazandaran FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mohammad Alizadeh — Ario Islamshahr
  2. ⚽ Mohammad Saberipour — Nassaji Mazandaran FC
  3. ⚽ Mehdi Yousefi — Ario Islamshahr

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Nassaji Mazandaran FC
90-minute result: Ario Islamshahr
Off target
66%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
As expected
48%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
12%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 106 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 38% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 296 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 350 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 94% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 66 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
Total 1.5 45% (Average)
Total 2.5 65% (Strong)
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 12% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
187 predictions
Both teams to score 74% (Strong)
248 predictions
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
211 predictions
Total 2.5 79% (Strong)
302 predictions
Total 3.5 92% (Strong)
331 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
342 predictions

Match overview