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Iran · Azadegan League

16 Jul 2026 16:15 UTC

SHENAVARSAZI QESHM vs HAVADAR SC

Final 3:0

Shenavarsazi Qeshm won

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Lucky hit
40%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
26%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
26%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
26%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
24%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 39% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 97% (Strong)
Score 24% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
183 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 22% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
17 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
6 predictions

Match overview