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Iran · Azadegan League

16 Jul 2026 16:15 UTC

KARA GOSTAR vs SHAHRDARI NOWSHAHR

Final 1:0

Kara Gostar won Last goal: Kara Gostar

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Shahin Saghebi — Kara Gostar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Kara Gostar
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
No surprise
40%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
69%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
85%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 159 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 39% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 342 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 72% (Strong)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 85% (Strong)
Total 3.5 94% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
159 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
97 predictions
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 79% (Strong)
297 predictions
Total 3.5 91% (Strong)
325 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
336 predictions

Match overview