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Belarus · Premier League

12 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

ARSENAL DZERZHINSK vs FK VITEBSK

Final 0:3

FK Vitebsk won Last goal: FK Vitebsk

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Evgeni Novykh — FK Vitebsk
  2. ⚽ Roman Minaev (penalty) — FK Vitebsk
  3. ⚽ Sergey Tikhonovskiy — FK Vitebsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FK Vitebsk
90-minute result: FK Vitebsk
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 70% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 272 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 330 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
220 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
188 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
249 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 30% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 4.5 3% (Weak)
34 predictions

Match overview