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Belarus · Premier League

10 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

DNYAPRO MOGILEV vs FC MINSK

Final 1:2

FC Minsk won Last goal: FC Minsk

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kirill Tsepenkov — Dnyapro Mogilev

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Nenad Perovic (straight red) — Dnyapro Mogilev
  2. ⚽ Aleksandr Makas — FC Minsk
  3. ⚽ Aleksandr Ksenofontov — FC Minsk

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
FC Minsk
90-minute result: FC Minsk
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 25 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 268 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 326 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
216 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
140 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
246 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
254 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
292 predictions

Match overview