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Belarus · Premier League

11 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

BARANOVICHI vs TORPEDO ZHODINO

Final 1:0

Baranovichi won Last goal: Baranovichi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Valeri Potorocha — Baranovichi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Torpedo Zhodino
90-minute result: Baranovichi
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 269 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 327 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
217 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
186 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
247 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
158 predictions
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
293 predictions

Match overview