← Back to matches

Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

10 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

NACIONAL POTOSI vs AURORA

Final 2:0

Nacional Potosi won Last goal: Nacional Potosi

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. William Álvarez — Nacional Potosi
  2. Maximiliano Núñez — Nacional Potosi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
80%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
80%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
80%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 66% (Strong)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 64% (Good)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview