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Lithuania · A Lyga

11 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

FK KAUNO ZALGIRIS vs FK PANEVEZYS

Final 3:0

FK Kauno Zalgiris won Last goal: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Renan — FK Kauno Zalgiris
  2. ⚽ Amine Benchaib — FK Kauno Zalgiris

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Amine Benchaib (penalty) — FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: FK Kauno Zalgiris
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 208 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 250 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
123 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
176 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
153 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
230 predictions

Match overview