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Lithuania · A Lyga

05 Jul 2026 15:45 UTC

FA SIAULIAI vs ZALGIRIS VILNIUS

Final 0:3

Zalgiris Vilnius won Last goal: Zalgiris Vilnius

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stanislav Bilenkyi — Zalgiris Vilnius
  2. ⚽ Nikola Petkovic — Zalgiris Vilnius
  3. ⚽ Marko Capan — Zalgiris Vilnius

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Zalgiris Vilnius
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 76 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 206 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 248 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 94 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 36% (Weak)
76 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 1.5 23% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
152 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
199 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
228 predictions

Match overview